NFL WEEK 11 Thoughts

[jasmine]

Eagles schedule has them facing Four Teams coming off Byes with the last of the Four in week 11


week----site------opponent-----score-------Eagles Line------Total Line

5---------at---------Pitts-------L 14-16-------- >+4 W------------44 U

6--------vs----------Det-------L 23-26 OT------> -3.5 L----------47 O

7----------------------------------Open Date----------------------------

*8-------vs---------Atl--------L 17-30---------- >-1.5 L----------43 O

9--------at---------NOR-------------------N/A---------------------------

10-------vs--------DAL--------------------N/A---------------------------

11-------at--------WAS-------???????------------>???-------------???



*indicates eagles coming off a Bye also in week 8

the two conference games went Over the Total Det and Atl which were both played at home

just something to consider

 

[ACE-ACE]

Myline has a wash -6.5
411. It's a toss up
up I like what you found....but...still don't see a edge

 

[jasmine]

Myline has a wash -6.5
411. It's a toss up
up I like what you found....but...still don't see a edge

my brother told me this angle regarding off a bye which has done exceptionally well.

said that the best road chalk in week 11 is to play on the Packers -3 opened -3, now -3 (-120 or more)

I posted NFL midway power numbers in the NFL forum should have posted it here, but those numbers back Greenbay by 4 to 6 points. lions are regressing megatron not 100% no running game DC capers is going to blitz like crazy

Packers are 9-1 su and 7-3 ats off of a bye as a favorite from 2001 to 2011

 

[jasmine]

Power Numbers for week 11

Team---------------Offense------------------------Defence----------SOS

Ari---------------------36-----------------------------37---------------9
Atl---------------------45-----------------------------38---------------26
Bal---------------------47----------------------------37----------------30
Buf--------------------41-----------------------------29----------------11
Car---------------------42----------------------------38----------------1
Chi---------------------47----------------------------44----------------22
Cin---------------------46----------------------------38----------------24
Cle---------------------40----------------------------38----------------23
Dal---------------------46----------------------------39----------------2
Den--------------------49----------------------------39----------------5
Det--------------------45-----------------------------34---------------14
Gnb--------------------46----------------------------38---------------8
Hou--------------------46----------------------------42---------------20
Ind---------------------41----------------------------37---------------32
Jac---------------------37----------------------------34---------------12
KC---------------------35----------------------------33----------------17
Mia--------------------37----------------------------34----------------28
Min-------------------42-----------------------------36----------------25
NE--------------------50-----------------------------36---------------21
NOR------------------43-----------------------------35----------------15
NYG------------------46-----------------------------39----------------19
NYJ-------------------38----------------------------32-----------------4
OAK------------------40----------------------------23-----------------18
PHI------------------41----------------------------36------------------13
PIT------------------44----------------------------41------------------31
SDG------------------42---------------------------38-----------------29
SFO------------------43---------------------------43-----------------16
SEA-------------------42--------------------------43-----------------7
STL-------------------40--------------------------35------------------3
TBY-------------------45--------------------------35------------------27
TEN-------------------41-------------------------32-------------------6
WAS------------------45-------------------------39-------------------10




highest score any team can get is 50 off and def

 

[ACE-ACE]

Team---------------Offense------------------------Defence----------SOS

Ari---------------------36-----------------------------37---------------9
Atl---------------------45-----------------------------38---------------26
Bal---------------------47----------------------------37----------------30
Buf--------------------41-----------------------------29----------------11
Car---------------------42----------------------------38----------------1
Chi---------------------47----------------------------44----------------22
Cin---------------------46----------------------------38----------------24
Cle---------------------40----------------------------38----------------23
Dal---------------------46----------------------------39----------------2
Den--------------------49----------------------------39----------------5
Det--------------------45-----------------------------34---------------14
Gnb--------------------46----------------------------38---------------8
Hou--------------------46----------------------------42---------------20
Ind---------------------41----------------------------37---------------32
Jac---------------------37----------------------------34---------------12
KC---------------------35----------------------------33----------------17
Mia--------------------37----------------------------34----------------28
Min-------------------42-----------------------------36----------------25
NE--------------------50-----------------------------36---------------21
NOR------------------43-----------------------------35----------------15
NYG------------------46-----------------------------39----------------19
NYJ-------------------38----------------------------32-----------------4
OAK------------------40----------------------------23-----------------18
PHI------------------41----------------------------36------------------13
PIT------------------44----------------------------41------------------31
SDG------------------42---------------------------38-----------------29
SFO------------------43---------------------------43-----------------16
SEA-------------------42--------------------------43-----------------7
STL-------------------40--------------------------35------------------3
TBY-------------------45--------------------------35------------------27
TEN-------------------41-------------------------32-------------------6
WAS------------------45-------------------------39-------------------10




highest score any team can get is 50 off and def

Is this your rating system.....what is it picking this week

 

[jasmine]

Is this your rating system.....what is it picking this week

it is my brothers model, objective he uses as his starting point for example:

miami=71 at buffalo=70 this is the starting point you need to factor in 2nd of bb div game miami off a home blowout loss and I read that RB Bush is benched (need to look ino this one)

miami's defence is 5 points better vs 4th easiest schedule played thus far maybe titans caught dolphins looking ahead etc,etc,etc,
buffalo's defence is - 5 worse vs 11th schedule played thus far could have won against the Patriots etc,etc etc,

 

[ACE-ACE]

check out game9000...... his I been following for 6 years now

link http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=873051&highlight=game9000

 

[jasmine]

another example Texans=88 at Bears=91 line bears -3 but you need to take points away from the Bears offense most of the points coming from the defence from a positive turnover ratio which would be impossible to maintain also the Texans very seldom give up the rock so Bears would be in tough for offensive points without the turnovers and you can see the texans defense is as good as the bears D and the offense can score points without relying on turnovers.

he keeps record of points off turnovers but I don't know how to access that file and the bears are right at the top getting most of their points from the defence.